| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
The world is currently operating on a mix of high-stakes geopolitical drama and financial absurdity. While gold prices have rocketed to record highs of over $4,500—Wall Street is busy rallying on AI stocks again, seemingly unfazed by the news that the U.S. Navy might soon feature "Trump-class" battleships. In personal finance, the "100-month car loan" has officially entered the chat, meaning you can now finance a sedan for nearly a decade, likely finishing your payments just as the car becomes a vintage collectible. Meanwhile, Bitcoin slipped back under $88k, and in a victory for bizarre dieting trends, a man made headlines for eating 1,000 sardines in a month to lose weight—proving that while the market might be fishy, he definitely is.
From The Research Desk
Executive Summary Kalshi prices Trump winning the SCOTUS tariff case at 26%, but pre-argument expert consensus was ~50/50, and even post-argument analysts put fair odds at ~30–40%. The market crashed from 58% to 22% during oral arguments on November ...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Breaking Markets
The biggest movers in the last 24 hours. These markets are seeing dramatic price swings.
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▲ 95.0%
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Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files? (Yes 98%)
24h Price Movement
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▲ 10.0%
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Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election? (Yes 72%)
24h Price Movement
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▲ 8.0%
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US strike on Syria by December 31? (Yes 24%)
24h Price Movement
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▲ 3.0%
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Tik Tok sale annoucned in 2025? (Yes 100%)
24h Price Movement
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▲ 6.0%
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US Strikes Nigeria by December 31? (Yes 7%)
24h Price Movement
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Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
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▲ 1.1%
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AMZN
Amazon.com Inc.
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$230.87
+$2.44
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▲ 1.0%
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GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.
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$312.84
+$3.06
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▲ 1.0%
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V
Visa Inc.
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$355.45
+$3.36
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Top Losers
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▼ 2.6%
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ORCL
Oracle Corporation
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$193.26
-$5.12
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▼ 1.1%
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CRM
Salesforce Inc.
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$261.64
-$2.99
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▼ 1.0%
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WMT
Walmart Inc.
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$111.46
-$1.14
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Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
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Politics
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Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
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| #2 |
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| #3 |
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| #4 |
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| #5 |
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In The News
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Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.
Wall Street Isn’t Warning You, But This Chart Might
Vanguard just projected public markets may return only 5% annually over the next decade. In a 2024 report, Goldman Sachs forecasted the S&P 500 may return just 3% annually for the same time frame—stats that put current valuations in the 7th percentile of history.
Translation? The gains we’ve seen over the past few years might not continue for quite a while.
Meanwhile, another asset class—almost entirely uncorrelated to the S&P 500 historically—has overall outpaced it for decades (1995-2024), according to Masterworks data.
Masterworks lets everyday investors invest in shares of multimillion-dollar artworks by legends like Banksy, Basquiat, and Picasso.
And they’re not just buying. They’re exiting—with net annualized returns like 17.6%, 17.8%, and 21.5% among their 23 sales.*
Wall Street won’t talk about this. But the wealthy already are. Shares in new offerings can sell quickly but…
*Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Important Reg A disclosures: masterworks.com/cd.