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Where the news meets the numbers. Prediction market data, research and whale trades delivered 5 days a week.

Latest editions

Prediction Markets are Mirrors

Jun 25, 2026

Prediction Markets are Mirrors

What the Primary Upsets Tell You About Prediction Markets

Ruh-roh, Apple.

Jun 9, 2026

Ruh-roh, Apple.

Hot jobs, cold AI, and a $52k bet on peace

Jun 8, 2026

Hot jobs, cold AI, and a $52k bet on peace

Drone strikes and defensive positions

Jun 4, 2026

Drone strikes and defensive positions

Trump’s perfect primary streak just snapped

Jun 3, 2026

Trump’s perfect primary streak just snapped

Anthropic beating OpenAI to the punch?

Jun 2, 2026

Anthropic beating OpenAI to the punch?

What to Watch in Prediction Markets this Week

Jun 1, 2026

What to Watch in Prediction Markets this Week

Recent Posts

May 29, 2026

Wall Street Buys Software; Whales Fade Reality TV

Tracking today's heavy volume: from surging Oracle and Salesforce to a 96.7% lock in the California primaries.

Wall Street Buys Software; Whales Fade Reality TV

May 27, 2026

Paxton crushes it, and the S&P prints records

Trump’s endorsement sparks a Texas realignment, markets bet on an Iran deal, and prediction whales drop $97k on the regime's survival.

Paxton crushes it, and the S&P prints records

May 26, 2026

Strait Up: Stocks Rip, Whales Flip, and the Knicks Hit the Finals

Stocks rally on Iran de-escalation hopes, the Knicks punch their ticket, and whales are dropping $50k on Korean esports.

Strait Up: Stocks Rip, Whales Flip, and the Knicks Hit the Finals

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