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| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
🏦 Finance & Markets
Stocks pull back on Iran war fears. S&P 500 slipped 0.14% and the Nasdaq dropped 0.76% as fresh US–Iran strikes halted the recent rally; the Dow bucked the trend, up 1.08%. (TheStreet, CNBC)
🗳️ Politics
California governor's race. Republican Steve Hilton (27.8%) narrowly leads Democrat Xavier Becerra (25.4%) in the gubernatorial primary to replace Gavin Newsom, with both on track to advance; Tom Steyer trails at 19.6%. (NBC News)
LA mayor. Incumbent Karen Bass advances from the nonpartisan primary; Nithya Raman and Spencer Pratt compete for the second runoff slot. (NBC News)
🌍 Geopolitics
US–Iran war enters fourth month. Fresh exchanges of strikes between the US and Iran have undermined hopes for a durable peace deal; the conflict began Feb 28, 2026, with an April 7–8 ceasefire that has since frayed. (Britannica, CSIS)
Macro Signal
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Recession
18%
Moderate
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Rate Cuts
1.6
Next 6 Mo
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Midterms
41%
D-House, D-Senate
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CPI Forecast
4.2%
Dec 2025
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AI Bubble Burst
23%
Dec 2026
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Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
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▲ 3.1%
|
V
Visa Inc.
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$322.16
+$9.76
|
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▲ 2.8%
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MA
Mastercard Inc.
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$484.70
+$13.15
|
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▲ 2.7%
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ADBE
Adobe Inc.
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$263.25
+$7.01
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Top Losers
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▼ 5.2%
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AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
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$514.22
-$28.30
|
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▼ 2.9%
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INTC
Intel Corporation
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$109.42
-$3.29
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▼ 0.9%
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TSLA
Tesla Inc.
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$419.77
-$3.93
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Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
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Tech/Culture
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Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
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In The News
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