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Dive into a collection of past posts and rediscover timeless content.
Prediction Markets are Mirrors

Prediction Markets are Mirrors

What the Primary Upsets Tell You About Prediction Markets

Jun 25, 2026

Ruh-roh, Apple.

Ruh-roh, Apple.

Tech giants slide ahead of WWDC, chips bounce back, and prediction whales bet big on an imminent Claude 5 drop.

Jun 9, 2026

Hot jobs, cold AI, and a $52k bet on peace

Hot jobs, cold AI, and a $52k bet on peace

The Nasdaq takes a 1,100-point nosedive on Friday while prediction whales bet heavily against OpenAI's summer supremacy.

Jun 8, 2026

Drone strikes and defensive positions

Drone strikes and defensive positions

Nasdaq slides as the US-Iran conflict flares up in Kuwait. Plus: The smart money's 96% lock to fade OpenAI this month.

Jun 4, 2026

Trump’s perfect primary streak just snapped

Trump’s perfect primary streak just snapped

A major upset in Iowa upends the GOP midterm narrative, the S&P clears 7,600, and Iran builds a toll booth in the Strait of Hormuz.

Jun 3, 2026

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