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| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
🏦 Finance & Markets
Chips lead a rebound ahead of CPI. The S&P 500 (7,405.73) and Nasdaq (25,929.66, +0.86%) rose Monday as semiconductors recovered from Friday's rout; the Dow slipped 0.16%. Markets are bracing for key CPI inflation data later this week.
🗳️ Politics
Primary day in four states. Voters in Maine, Nevada, South Carolina and North Dakota head to the polls today ahead of November's midterms.
🌍 Geopolitics
Middle East ceasefire under strain. An Israeli strike on Beirut and Tehran's retaliation threaten a recently renewed ceasefire, even as the U.S. and Iran are reportedly narrowing gaps toward a possible MOU to end the war.
Macro Signal
|
Recession
18%
Moderate
|
Rate Cuts
1.3
Next 6 Mo
|
Midterms
42%
D-House, D-Senate
|
CPI Forecast
3.1%
Dec 2025
|
AI Bubble Burst
23%
Dec 2026
|
From The Research Desk
!Polymarket California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra 60.8%, Tom Steyer 26.2%, Steve Hilton 9.0%, Chad Bianco 2.8% as of May 2026 Polymarket "California Governor Election Winner" contract, Nov 2025 – May 2026. Becerra 60.8%, Steyer 26.2%, H...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
|
▲ 3.7%
|
HD
The Home Depot
|
$321.14
+$11.43
|
|
▲ 1.7%
|
PG
Procter & Gamble
|
$147.55
+$2.45
|
|
▲ 1.7%
|
PYPL
PayPal Holdings
|
$41.95
+$0.69
|
Top Losers
|
▼ 2.9%
|
AAPL
Apple Inc.
|
$292.71
-$8.83
|
|
▼ 2.9%
|
CRM
Salesforce Inc.
|
$177.32
-$5.23
|
|
▼ 2.6%
|
CSCO
Cisco Systems
|
$120.92
-$3.23
|
Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
|
Finance
|
Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
|
|
Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
| #1 |
|
| #2 |
|
In The News
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Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.
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