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| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
🏦 Finance & Markets
Stocks open higher on Iran-deal hopes — US futures edged up after the S&P 500 (7,519.12, +0.61%) and Nasdaq (26,656.18, +1.19%) printed fresh record highs Tuesday on optimism about a potential US-Iran ceasefire/nuclear deal. The Dow lagged, slipping 118 pts (-0.23%) to 50,461.68.
🗳️ Politics
Paxton crushes Cornyn in Texas GOP Senate runoff — Texas AG Ken Paxton beat Sen. John Cornyn by a 28-point margin in the runoff after Trump's eleventh-hour endorsement. A major MAGA-vs.-establishment realignment moment.
🌍 Geopolitics
Iran war hits month three, "frozen" stalemate — Strait of Hormuz remains closed; US has reportedly outlined five conditions for ending hostilities. Tanker traffic around the Cape of Good Hope is at the highest level since early 2025.
Macro Signal
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Recession
21%
Moderate
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Rate Cuts
1.7
Next 6 Mo
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Midterms
43%
D-House, D-Senate
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CPI Forecast
3%
Dec 2025
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AI Bubble Burst
21%
Dec 2026
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From The Research Desk
!Polymarket California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra 60.8%, Tom Steyer 26.2%, Steve Hilton 9.0%, Chad Bianco 2.8% as of May 2026 Polymarket "California Governor Election Winner" contract, Nov 2025 – May 2026. Becerra 60.8%, Steyer 26.2%, H...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
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▲ 3.3%
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PG
Procter & Gamble
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$147.73
+$4.77
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▲ 2.6%
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HD
The Home Depot
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$318.70
+$8.16
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▲ 2.1%
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PFE
Pfizer Inc.
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$26.40
+$0.55
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Top Losers
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▼ 4.4%
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INTC
Intel Corporation
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$118.12
-$5.40
|
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▼ 3.2%
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JPM
JPMorgan Chase
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$296.85
-$9.89
|
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▼ 2.9%
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
|
$489.37
-$14.52
|
Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
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In The News
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Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.
The LA Mayor Market Ends June 2. The Odds Are Moving Now.
Karen Bass is at 68%. Spencer Pratt at 27%. Over $21 million is already trading on the Los Angeles Mayor race on Kalshi — and the prices are shifting every day as local news breaks. The window to get in before the consensus hardens is closing. The best prediction market trades happen before everyone agrees on the outcome. That moment is right now, before June 2. Peer-to-peer, no house, cash out anytime. Trade $10, get $10 free to start.
Trade responsibly.