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| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
Finance & Markets
Stocks rip higher on Iran de-escalation hopes. S&P 500 up ~0.86% to 7,537.50; Nasdaq +1.39% to 26,709.08; Dow roughly flat. The index is coming off its eighth consecutive weekly gain — its longest winning streak since late 2023.
Politics
Voting Rights Act ruling reverberates. The Congressional Black Caucus says the Supreme Court's latest VRA decision could cost up to 19 Black lawmakers their seats over the next few cycles.
Texas GOP Senate runoff today. Ken Paxton vs. four-term incumbent John Cornyn — Trump endorsed Paxton a week ago. Polls close 8:00 PM ET. Paxton is at 95% chance to win on Kalshi.
Geopolitics
Strait of Hormuz still closed. Three months into the Iran war, blockades by Iran and the US have kept much of the world's oil supply stuck in the Persian Gulf. Al Jazeera reports no date is yet set for renewed US-Iran talks.
Sports
Knicks punch Finals ticket. New York knocked out Cleveland in Game 4 to clinch the Eastern Conference. Awaiting OKC/San Antonio — Game 5 of that series is tonight with the West tied 2-2.
When will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
Before Sep 1, 2026 - 62%
Macro Signal
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Recession
23%
Moderate
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Rate Cuts
1.6
Next 6 Mo
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Midterms
44%
D-House, D-Senate
|
CPI Forecast
3%
Dec 2025
|
AI Bubble Burst
22%
Dec 2026
|
From The Research Desk
!Polymarket California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra 60.8%, Tom Steyer 26.2%, Steve Hilton 9.0%, Chad Bianco 2.8% as of May 2026 Polymarket "California Governor Election Winner" contract, Nov 2025 – May 2026. Becerra 60.8%, Steyer 26.2%, H...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
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▲ 5.1%
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AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
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$491.48
+$23.97
|
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▲ 2.9%
|
INTC
Intel Corporation
|
$123.32
+$3.48
|
|
▲ 1.4%
|
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
|
$194.75
+$2.67
|
Top Losers
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▼ 2.5%
|
CSCO
Cisco Systems
|
$117.39
-$3.02
|
|
▼ 1.3%
|
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
|
$241.59
-$3.17
|
|
▼ 1.2%
|
NFLX
Netflix Inc.
|
$87.50
-$1.10
|
Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
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Sports
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Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
| #1 |
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| #2 |
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| #3 |
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| #4 |
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| #5 |
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In The News
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Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.
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