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| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
The Dow Jones finally claimed the 50,000 psychological milestone yesterday, closing at a record 50,135.87. While the headline belongs to the index, the muscle came from Oracle (+9.6%) and Nvidia, highlighting a market that remains heavily concentrated in a few high-performing tech names.
This optimism was sharply contrasted by Stellantis, which saw its stock crater 24% following a massive €22 billion writedown, a stark reminder of the financial friction in the EV transition.
On the political front, President Trump used a Fox Business interview to clear the path for Fed nominee Kevin Warsh, labeling his 2017 decision to pass over Warsh for Jerome Powell as a "really big mistake." With the Super Bowl in the rearview and the Seattle Seahawks celebrating, the focus shifts back to the Fed's future and whether the tech-driven rally has the legs to sustain this new 50k floor.
Macro Signal
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Recession
22%
Moderate
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Rate Cuts
2.2
Next 6 Mo
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Midterms
46%
D-House, R-Senate
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CPI Forecast
2.7%
Dec 2025
|
AI Bubble Burst
20%
Dec 2026
|
From The Research Desk
Why Betting on Timothée Chalamet at 77% Is the Smartest Oscar Play The Kalshi market for Best Actor at the 2026 Oscars prices Timothée Chalamet at 77% to win for Marty Supreme. Leonardo DiCaprio sits at 10%, Michael B. Jordan at 9%. Those odds aren't...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Breaking Markets
The biggest movers in the last 24 hours. These markets are seeing dramatic price swings.
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▼ 51.0%
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Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of February 2026? (Yes 9%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▼ 38.0%
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Will Mr. Beast's million dollar puzzle be solved by February 15? (Yes 35%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▲ 30.0%
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2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 55% by March 31? (Yes 42%)
24h Price Movement
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▼ 22.0%
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Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? (Yes 51%)
24h Price Movement
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▼ 20.0%
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Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful Splashdown? (Yes 44%)
24h Price Movement
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Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
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▲ 2.9%
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NFLX
Netflix Inc.
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$83.85
+$2.38
|
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▲ 2.4%
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DIS
Walt Disney Company
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$109.72
+$2.59
|
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▲ 2.1%
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PYPL
PayPal Holdings
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$42.02
+$0.87
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Top Losers
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▼ 2.9%
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INTC
Intel Corporation
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$48.79
-$1.45
|
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▼ 2.2%
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GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.
|
$317.14
-$7.18
|
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▼ 0.3%
|
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
|
$189.38
-$0.66
|
Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
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Politics
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Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
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In The News
Market of the Day
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The "Red Line" Rumble: Unconfirmed reports surfaced late Monday that the IAEA has detected uranium enrichment levels at Fordow nearing "weapons-grade," prompting the White House to issue a statement that "all options are back on the table"—a phrase that usually translates to "buy defense stocks."
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