| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
Across the pond, the European Union is officially sharpening its knives with the "Digital Euro," a grand regulatory plan aimed squarely at dethroning credit juggernauts Visa and Mastercard.
Over in the tech and startup realm, Stripe is casually flexing a massive $140 billion valuation—proving that staying private is the new IPO—while executives continue to bet the farm on artificial intelligence, insisting that autonomous "AI agents" are about to become your Accounts Payable department's most trusted (and least complaining) teammates.
Wall Street banks are also aggressively rolling out autonomous "agentic AI" to handle their core trading operations, and Meta just casually dropped a cool $60 billion on AMD chips.
Macro Signal
|
Recession
22%
Moderate
|
Rate Cuts
2.1
Next 6 Mo
|
Midterms
44%
D-House, R-Senate
|
CPI Forecast
2.7%
Dec 2025
|
AI Bubble Burst
18%
Dec 2026
|
From The Research Desk
Executive summary Market. Kalshi KXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB28, "What will Trump say during the State of the Union?" Event. February 24, 2026, 9:00 PM ET. Trump's first State of the Union of his second term, delivered to a joint session of the 119th Congres...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Breaking Markets
The biggest movers in the last 24 hours. These markets are seeing dramatic price swings.
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▲ 67.0%
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US Seizes Iran linked oil tanker by Feb 28? (Yes 100%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▼ 28.0%
|
Will Alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? (Yes 7%)
24h Price Movement
|
|
▲ 16.0%
|
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? (Yes 39%)
24h Price Movement
|
|
▼ 13.0%
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Will Erika Kirk attend the 2026 State of the Union address? (Yes 67%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▼ 11.0%
|
S&P All time high by March 31, 2026? (Yes 55%)
24h Price Movement
|
Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
|
▲ 7.2%
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
|
$210.71
+$14.11
|
|
▲ 3.2%
|
HD
The Home Depot
|
$388.94
+$11.95
|
|
▲ 2.9%
|
AAPL
Apple Inc.
|
$273.93
+$7.75
|
Top Losers
|
▼ 1.9%
|
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
|
$291.96
-$5.71
|
|
▼ 1.4%
|
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.
|
$307.03
-$4.46
|
|
▼ 1.2%
|
PYPL
PayPal Holdings
|
$43.52
-$0.53
|
Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
| #1 |
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In The News
Market of the Day
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All eyes are on the State of the Union address tonight, probably more than usual with the rise of attendee and mention markets on Polymarket and Kalshi. |
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Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.