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| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
Finance & Markets
Hot PPI print rattles markets. Headline PPI came in at +1.4% m/m and +6.0% y/y, far above estimates of +0.5% / +4.8% — the largest monthly increase since April 2022. The Dow shed 211 points (-0.4%) and the S&P 500 dipped -0.1%, while the Nasdaq eked out +0.2% on chip-stock strength.
Politics
Trump lands in Beijing for Xi summit. President Trump arrived in China for high-stakes talks with President Xi Jinping. Trade and tariffs are the main agenda, but Trump said he'll have a "long talk" about Iran. Jensen Huang (Nvidia) and Elon Musk (Tesla) are traveling with the delegation.
Geopolitics
U.S.-China "Board of Trade" proposed. The Trump administration hopes to establish a standing bilateral trade body with China. China's vice premier led a delegation to South Korea for preliminary trade talks on May 12-13, ahead of the Trump-Xi meeting in Beijing on May 14.
Macro Signal
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Recession
22%
Moderate
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Rate Cuts
1
Next 6 Mo
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Midterms
0%
D-House, R-Senate
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CPI Forecast
3%
Dec 2025
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AI Bubble Burst
0%
Dec 2026
|
From The Research Desk
!Polymarket chart: Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? 35% chance, down 26%, $227K volume. Polymarket "Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?" as of May 3, 2026. Source: Polymarket. The short version - The trade: Buy YES on...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
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▲ 1.8%
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NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
|
$224.73
+$3.95
|
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▲ 1.8%
|
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.
|
$394.20
+$6.85
|
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▲ 1.6%
|
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
|
$189.84
+$3.01
|
Top Losers
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▼ 2.1%
|
HD
The Home Depot
|
$303.84
-$6.62
|
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▼ 2.1%
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
|
$438.86
-$9.43
|
|
▼ 1.8%
|
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
|
$236.39
-$4.44
|
Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
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Politics
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Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
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| #2 |
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| #3 |
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| #4 |
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| #5 |
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In The News
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Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.
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