| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
_(6)_1766501040798.png)
Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
The market’s current investment thesis is apparently "buy everything when the geopolitical map doesn't change." The S&P 500 ground out a 0.55% gain to close at 6,913.35 on Thursday, while the Nasdaq added 0.9%, driven largely by a collective sigh of relief that the U.S. is not, in fact, invading Greenland or tariffing Europe this week.
While clean energy stocks like FuelCell popped (~6%) on the realization they might survive the month, the real drama moved to Truth Social last night: Trump officially rescinded Canada’s invitation to his "Board of Peace," deciding that Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Davos speech was too "ungrateful" for a seat at the table.
So, to recap: inflation is tame at 2.8%, the trade war is paused, and Canada has been ghosted by the White House—which, in this market, counts as a bullish signal.
Macro Signal
|
Recession
22%
Moderate
|
Rate Cuts
2.3
Next 6 Mo
|
Midterms
47%
D-House, R-Senate
|
CPI Forecast
2.7%
Dec 2025
|
AI Bubble Burst
18%
Dec 2026
|
From The Research Desk
Executive Summary The prediction market for "Will the US acquire any part of Greenland in 2026?" trades at 22.5% YES on Polymarket. Our analysis suggests this is dramatically overpriced. The YES outcome faces a procedural impossibility: Danish Consti...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Breaking Markets
The biggest movers in the last 24 hours. These markets are seeing dramatic price swings.
|
▲ 44.0%
|
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving by June 30? (Yes 72%)
24h Price Movement
|
|
▲ 13.0%
|
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? (Yes 44%)
24h Price Movement
|
|
▲ 13.0%
|
Will Trumo admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15? (Yes 84%)
24h Price Movement
|
|
▲ 13.0%
|
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? (Yes 36%)
24h Price Movement
|
|
▼ 1.0%
|
Russia Ukraine Ceasefire by February 28, 2026? (Yes 9%)
24h Price Movement
|
Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
|
▲ 3.7%
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
|
$263.19
+$9.46
|
|
▲ 1.9%
|
NFLX
Netflix Inc.
|
$85.11
+$1.57
|
|
▲ 1.8%
|
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
|
$188.09
+$3.25
|
Top Losers
|
▼ 15.6%
|
INTC
Intel Corporation
|
$45.87
-$8.45
|
|
▼ 2.1%
|
PFE
Pfizer Inc.
|
$25.55
-$0.55
|
|
▼ 2.1%
|
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
|
$174.47
-$3.71
|
Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
|
Tech/Culture
|
Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
|
|
Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
| #1 |
|
| #2 |
|
| #3 |
|
| #4 |
|
| #5 |
|
In The News
Market of the Day
|
|
The Davos Pump: Elon Musk took the stage at the World Economic Forum yesterday and explicitly claimed that Tesla expects regulatory approval for FSD in both Europe and China as early as "next month" (February).
|
Full Analytics Dashboard
View Dashboard →flowframe.xyz · est 2025
You're receiving this because you subscribed to FlowFrame's daily newsletter.
Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.