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| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
🏦 Finance & Markets
Stocks slide as Iran war fears deepen. The S&P 500 fell 1.74% to 6,477, the Nasdaq sank 2.38% to 21,408, and the Dow dropped 1.01% to 45,960 — putting the S&P on course for its fifth consecutive weekly decline, the longest losing streak since 2022.
🗳️ Politics
DHS funding impasse deepens; government shutdown continues. The Senate again failed to advance DHS funding after holding a vote open for five hours. Trump directed DHS to "immediately pay" TSA agents to reduce airport lines, though funding sources remain unclear.
🌍 Geopolitics
Iran war enters Day 27 with escalating strikes. US and Israeli strikes on Iran are increasing in intensity, with a major wave hitting infrastructure in Isfahan. Iran retaliated with two rounds of missiles hitting central Israel, causing destruction and injuries.
Trump extends energy strike deadline by 10 days. Trump paused the period of energy plant destruction until April 6, 2026, at Iran's request — but Tehran publicly rejected further talks, saying it will continue to "resist" US aggression.
WTI Oil Price Today ≥ $97 - 53% YES
DHS Funded Again Before Mar 28 - 44% YES
Macro Signal
|
Recession
36%
Elevated
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Rate Cuts
1
Next 6 Mo
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Midterms
0%
D-House, R-Senate
|
CPI Forecast
2.5%
Dec 2025
|
AI Bubble Burst
20%
Dec 2026
|
From The Research Desk
Three weeks into Operation Epic Fury, every prediction market touching Iran is converging at two physical points. The Strait of Hormuz is the regime's shield, and Kharg Island is its throat. A third variable sits on the other side of the globe. The K...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Breaking Markets
The biggest movers in the last 24 hours. These markets are seeing dramatic price swings.
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▼ 6.0%
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Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? (Yes 27%)
24h Price Movement
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▼ 6.0%
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Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? (Yes 42%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▼ 5.0%
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Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31? (Yes 12%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▼ 5.0%
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Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? (Yes 30%)
24h Price Movement
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▼ 5.0%
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Ledger IPO before 2027? (Yes 65%)
24h Price Movement
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Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
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▲ 0.7%
|
WMT
Walmart Inc.
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$122.99
+$0.81
|
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▲ 0.5%
|
AAPL
Apple Inc.
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$254.05
+$1.16
|
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▲ 0.3%
|
NFLX
Netflix Inc.
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$93.56
+$0.24
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Top Losers
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▼ 3.0%
|
CRM
Salesforce Inc.
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$180.14
-$5.50
|
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▼ 2.2%
|
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
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$235.65
-$5.23
|
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▼ 2.1%
|
CSCO
Cisco Systems
|
$80.43
-$1.73
|
Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
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Sports
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Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
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| #2 |
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| #3 |
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| #4 |
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In The News
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