| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
The only thing more improbable than the Indiana Hoosiers completing a perfect 16-0 season by strangling Miami 27-21 for the National Title is Wall Street’s latest surrender to the crypto-zeitgeist. While Bloomington is still burning couches in celebration, the NYSE announced plans for a 24/7 blockchain-based trading platform, effectively admitting that "market hours" are a relic of an era when bankers actually slept. So, the good news is you can now panic-sell tokenized equities at 3:00 a.m. on a Sunday; the bad news is you have no excuse to look away from the charts, even while re-watching Fernando Mendoza highlights.
Macro Signal
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Recession
22%
Moderate
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Rate Cuts
1.8
Next 6 Mo
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Midterms
48%
D-House, R-Senate
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CPI Forecast
2.7%
Dec 2025
|
AI Bubble Burst
18%
Dec 2026
|
From The Research Desk
Traders predicting Kalshi's "Gas prices in the US this month?" contract are pricing in volatility that doesn't match what actually happens in late January. The contract resolves based on AAA's national average gas price on January 31, 2026 at 10:00am...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Breaking Markets
The biggest movers in the last 24 hours. These markets are seeing dramatic price swings.
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▼ 17.0%
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Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the US in 2026? (Yes 53%)
24h Price Movement
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▲ 6.0%
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Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as next Fed Chair? (Yes 22%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▲ 6.0%
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Will the Epstein client list be released by June 30? (Yes 22%)
24h Price Movement
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▼ 5.0%
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Will the New York Knicks win the eastern conference finals? (Yes 21%)
24h Price Movement
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▼ 1.0%
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Will Trump acquire Greenland by 2027? (Yes 20%)
24h Price Movement
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Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
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▲ 4.5%
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INTC
Intel Corporation
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$49.09
+$2.13
|
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▲ 1.2%
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NFLX
Netflix Inc.
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$89.02
+$1.01
|
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▲ 0.9%
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AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
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$233.97
+$2.14
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Top Losers
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▼ 3.9%
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ORCL
Oracle Corporation
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$183.60
-$7.49
|
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▼ 3.3%
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NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
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$180.05
-$6.18
|
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▼ 3.1%
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PYPL
PayPal Holdings
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$55.13
-$1.76
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Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
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Finance
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Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
| #1 |
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| #2 |
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| #3 |
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| #4 |
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| #5 |
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In The News
Market of the Day
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Stop thinking about marketing budgets; by January, the $7M checks have already cleared. By now you are trading execution risk.
The "Leak" Alpha (The Vertical Line): Ad agencies are leaky vessels. When a chart like Spotify’s goes vertical, it’s not a guess—it’s because a trade mag like Ad Age confirmed the booking. The edge is setting Google Alerts for the agency, not the brand. |
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Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.