| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
So, the U.S. apparently decided the most efficient way to lower inflation was to personally "acquire" Venezuela’s leadership this weekend, sending oil stocks and gold prices climbing because nothing stimulates the portfolio quite like a good old-fashioned regime change. While the geopolitical risk premium is back in vogue—with analysts casually forecasting $5,000 gold as if it’s a reasonable base case—Bitcoin bulls have predictably interpreted the chaos as a signal to push BTC past $93,000, operating on the timeless logic that if fiat is funding military adventures, you might as well hold the censorship-resistant alternative. Meanwhile, as the rest of us brace for the fallout, the tech sector is merrily descending on Las Vegas for CES to pitch "physical AI" robots, which we can only hope will be programmed to trade these volatility spikes better than human emotion allows.
Macro Signal
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Recession
22%
Moderate
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Rate Cuts
2.3
Next 6 Mo
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Midterms
50%
D-House, R-Senate
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CPI Forecast
2.6%
Dec 2025
|
AI Bubble Burst
17%
Dec 2026
|
From The Research Desk
Executive Summary The United States conducted its most significant military intervention in Latin America since the 1989 Panama invasion when it captured Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro in a predawn raid on January 3, 2026. OPERATION ABSOLUTE RES...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Breaking Markets
The biggest movers in the last 24 hours. These markets are seeing dramatic price swings.
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▼ 26.0%
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Maduro Mugshot released by Monday? (Yes 10%)
24h Price Movement
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▼ 23.0%
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Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026? (Yes 22%)
24h Price Movement
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▼ 18.0%
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Will Maria Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? (Yes 18%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▲ 11.0%
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Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? (Yes 31%)
24h Price Movement
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▲ 14.0%
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Will Kevin Stefanski be fired? (Yes 99%)
24h Price Movement
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Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
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▲ 6.7%
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INTC
Intel Corporation
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$39.38
+$2.48
|
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▲ 4.3%
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AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
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$223.47
+$9.31
|
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▲ 1.3%
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NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
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$188.85
+$2.35
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Top Losers
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▼ 4.8%
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ADBE
Adobe Inc.
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$333.30
-$16.69
|
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▼ 4.3%
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CRM
Salesforce Inc.
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$253.62
-$11.29
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▼ 3.0%
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NFLX
Netflix Inc.
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$90.99
-$2.77
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Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
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Politics
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Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
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Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.