| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
If you’ve been waiting for the price fever to break, this morning delivered the goods: Core CPI clocked in at a cool 2.6% year-over-year, a signal that the "sticky" inflation narrative is finally getting unstuck.
While the economic data decided to behave, the rest of the world clearly didn't get the memo: President Trump is doubling down on "Manifest Destiny 2.0" with a fresh push to annex Greenland (spoiler: Denmark still says no), while simultaneously threatening 25% tariffs on anyone trading with an unrest-rocked Iran. Add in a populist curveball proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10%—terrifying bankers and delighting borrowers.
Macro Signal
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Recession
22%
Moderate
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Rate Cuts
2
Next 6 Mo
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Midterms
48%
D-House, R-Senate
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CPI Forecast
2.7%
Dec 2025
|
AI Bubble Burst
16%
Dec 2026
|
From The Research Desk
At first glance, cultural markets sound like noise rather than signal. Who will be Spotify's top U.S. artist this year? Drake? Taylor Swift? Bad Bunny? These feel like questions answered by taste, fandom, and intuition – not spreadsheets. And that's ...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Breaking Markets
The biggest movers in the last 24 hours. These markets are seeing dramatic price swings.
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▲ 62.0%
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Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in December? (Yes 100%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▼ 24.0%
|
Iran Strike on US military by January 31? (Yes 24%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▲ 21.0%
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Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? (Yes 30%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▲ 16.0%
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Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs by January 14? (Yes 41%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▲ 15.0%
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US Strike on Colombia by December 31? (Yes 35%)
24h Price Movement
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Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
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▲ 4.3%
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INTC
Intel Corporation
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$45.95
+$1.89
|
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▲ 3.7%
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AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
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$215.31
+$7.62
|
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▲ 1.1%
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PG
Procter & Gamble
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$143.46
+$1.59
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Top Losers
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▼ 2.6%
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DIS
Walt Disney Company
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$112.82
-$3.06
|
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▼ 1.9%
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V
Visa Inc.
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$343.20
-$6.57
|
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▼ 1.6%
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ADBE
Adobe Inc.
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$322.38
-$5.28
|
Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
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Politics
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Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
| #1 |
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| #2 |
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| #3 |
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| #4 |
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| #5 |
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In The News
Market of the Day
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The prediction markets have officially turned against Elon Musk’s favorite letter. In a sharp reversal over the last week, $STAR has surged to become the leading contender for SpaceX's public ticker (hitting ~25%), decisively overtaking the previously hyped $X (now slumping near 13%). The logic for the flip is becoming obvious to bettors: while Musk loves "X," the ticker is currently held by U.S. Steel—a legacy mess that even a billionaire might not want to untangle—and risks confusing the market with his other X (formerly Twitter). |
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Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.
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