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FlowFrame Global Intelligence Journal
Vol. 1, No. 42 New York • London • Tokyo $0.50
Headline by FlowFrame

Global Intelligence Journal

JAN 13, 2026

Good morning!

While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.

News Briefing

If you’ve been waiting for the price fever to break, this morning delivered the goods: Core CPI clocked in at a cool 2.6% year-over-year, a signal that the "sticky" inflation narrative is finally getting unstuck.

While the economic data decided to behave, the rest of the world clearly didn't get the memo: President Trump is doubling down on "Manifest Destiny 2.0" with a fresh push to annex Greenland (spoiler: Denmark still says no), while simultaneously threatening 25% tariffs on anyone trading with an unrest-rocked Iran. Add in a populist curveball proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10%—terrifying bankers and delighting borrowers.

Macro Signal

Live odds from Kalshi & Polymarket
Recession
22%
Moderate
Rate Cuts
2
Next 6 Mo
Midterms
48%
D-House, R-Senate
CPI Forecast
2.7%
Dec 2025
AI Bubble Burst
16%
Dec 2026

From The Research Desk

Listening to What the Data Sings: How Even
By Mr.Froxter • Culture • 3 min read

At first glance, cultural markets sound like noise rather than signal. Who will be Spotify's top U.S. artist this year? Drake? Taylor Swift? Bad Bunny? These feel like questions answered by taste, fandom, and intuition – not spreadsheets. And that's ...

Keep Reading on FlowFrame →

Breaking Markets

The biggest movers in the last 24 hours. These markets are seeing dramatic price swings.

Stock Market Movers

Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.

Top Gainers

▲ 4.3%
INTC
Intel Corporation
$45.95
+$1.89
▲ 3.7%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
$215.31
+$7.62
▲ 1.1%
PG
Procter & Gamble
$143.46
+$1.59

Top Losers

▼ 2.6%
DIS
Walt Disney Company
$112.82
-$3.06
▼ 1.9%
V
Visa Inc.
$343.20
-$6.57
▼ 1.6%
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
$322.38
-$5.28

Today's Top Pick

Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.

Politics
Rating:  AA Side:  No Odds:  94.8%
ROI:  5.5% APY:  155.6%

Emerging Markets

Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.

24h Vol: $57,794 Velocity: 0.5x
24h Vol: $97,720 Velocity: 0.4x

Smart Money Activity

When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.

#1
Bet: No $37,503 Jan 9, 6:16 PM Top Trader
#2
Bet: Yes $28,522 Jan 12, 6:07 PM Top Trader
#3
Bet: No $23,904 Jan 12, 11:48 PM Top Trader
#4
Bet: No $20,711 Jan 12, 10:59 PM Top Trader
#5
Bet: Yes $20,175 Jan 12, 6:05 PM Top Trader

Market of the Day

Market of the Day

The prediction markets have officially turned against Elon Musk’s favorite letter. In a sharp reversal over the last week, $STAR has surged to become the leading contender for SpaceX's public ticker (hitting ~25%), decisively overtaking the previously hyped $X (now slumping near 13%). The logic for the flip is becoming obvious to bettors: while Musk loves "X," the ticker is currently held by U.S. Steel—a legacy mess that even a billionaire might not want to untangle—and risks confusing the market with his other X (formerly Twitter).

Meanwhile, $STAR is looking like the "adult in the room" choice. With Starlink now generating the lion's share of SpaceX's revenue (projected at 70% of total sales in 2025) and Starship serving as the company's future Mars vehicle, the branding alignment is undeniable. The market is essentially betting that Wall Street pragmatism will win out over Musk's meme-lord tendencies. Investors realize that when you're targeting a $1.5 trillion valuation—potentially the largest IPO in history—you might just need a ticker that reminds people of the product that actually makes money, rather than a letter that reminds them of a social media fight.

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Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.

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