| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
While the stock market dozed off its holiday feast in a flat post-Christmas session, the commodities desk clearly didn’t get the "quiet weekend" memo—silver rocketed 10% and gold struck new all-time highs, effectively hedging against the high-stakes playdate at Mar-a-Lago where President Trump and Zelenskyy insisted they are "closer than ever" to a peace deal. The only thing rising faster than precious metals was political blood pressure, with Trump blasting Congressman Thomas Massie as a "lowlife" just in time for 2026 to usher in "Isaac," a humanoid robot that will hopefully handle our future diplomatic relations (and laundry) with a bit more grace.
From The Research Desk
Three prediction markets capture the major geopolitical fault lines heading into 2026 A potential end to Europe's largest land war since 1945, a Western Hemisphere military flashpoint, and the possible end of a 36-year theocratic reign in the Middle ...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Breaking Markets
The biggest movers in the last 24 hours. These markets are seeing dramatic price swings.
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▲ 29.0%
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Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025? (Yes 44%)
24h Price Movement
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▼ 15.0%
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Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? (Yes 23%)
24h Price Movement
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▼ 7.0%
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Will there be at least 2050 measle cases in the U.S. in 2025? (Yes 55%)
24h Price Movement
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▼ 5.0%
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Grok 4.20 released by December 31? (Yes 14%)
24h Price Movement
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▲ 3.0%
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Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31? (Yes 37%)
24h Price Movement
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Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
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▲ 0.6%
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CRM
Salesforce Inc.
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$267.68
+$1.60
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▲ 0.5%
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BRK.B
Berkshire Hathaway
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$500.82
+$2.52
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▲ 0.5%
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WMT
Walmart Inc.
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$112.30
+$0.56
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Top Losers
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▼ 2.3%
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TSLA
Tesla Inc.
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$464.25
-$10.94
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▼ 2.0%
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NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
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$186.78
-$3.75
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▼ 1.3%
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ORCL
Oracle Corporation
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$195.37
-$2.62
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Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
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Tech/Culture
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Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
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| #2 |
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| #3 |
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| #4 |
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| #5 |
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In The News
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Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.