| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
The US economic landscape shifted significantly in the last 24 hours, driven by a cooling labor market and aggressive new housing policy proposals. The latest JOLTS data revealed that job openings fell to 7.1 million in November—the lowest level in nearly five years—pushing the ratio of openings to unemployed workers below 1:1 and signaling a distinct freeze in hiring demand.
Concurrently, the administration announced immediate executive steps to ban large institutional investors from purchasing single-family homes, arguing that corporate ownership has stifled affordability. The announcement, which includes a call for Congressional codification, triggered an immediate sell-off in residential REITs and major asset managers like Blackstone and Invitation Homes, with the market now weighing the long-term impact on liquidity and asset values in the housing sector.
Macro Signal
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Recession
22%
Moderate
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Rate Cuts
2
Next 6 Mo
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Midterms
50%
D-House, R-Senate
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CPI Forecast
2.7%
Dec 2025
|
AI Bubble Burst
15%
Dec 2026
|
From The Research Desk
Executive Summary The United States conducted its most significant military intervention in Latin America since the 1989 Panama invasion when it captured Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro in a predawn raid on January 3, 2026. OPERATION ABSOLUTE RES...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Breaking Markets
The biggest movers in the last 24 hours. These markets are seeing dramatic price swings.
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▲ 44.0%
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Will Alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? (Yes 74%)
24h Price Movement
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▲ 24.0%
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Will the Logan Paul 1st edition Charizard sale price be over 1m? (Yes 59%)
24h Price Movement
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▼ 22.0%
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Will Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? (Yes 21%)
24h Price Movement
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▲ 16.0%
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Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? (Yes 59%)
24h Price Movement
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▲ 13.0%
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Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31? (Yes 27%)
24h Price Movement
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Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
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▲ 1.3%
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AMZN
Amazon.com Inc.
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$244.81
+$3.25
|
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▲ 1.2%
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PG
Procter & Gamble
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$139.75
+$1.71
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▲ 1.1%
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HD
The Home Depot
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$352.77
+$3.71
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Top Losers
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▼ 2.5%
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ORCL
Oracle Corporation
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$187.96
-$4.88
|
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▼ 1.7%
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META
Meta Platforms Inc.
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$637.67
-$11.02
|
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▼ 1.5%
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AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
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$206.83
-$3.19
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Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
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Finance
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Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
| #1 |
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| #2 |
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| #3 |
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| #4 |
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| #5 |
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In The News
Market of the Day
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Is this free money? In the new playoff format, an undefeated champion finishes with a 16-0 record, not 15-0. The low 9% price isn't because people think Indiana will lose on the field; it’s because traders are scared the market judges will be extremely picky and say "NO" just because 16 isn't exactly 15. Basically, this bet is no longer about football—it’s about whether a loophole in the wording will ruin the payout for everyone. |
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Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.