| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
It was a bruising session for Wall Street yesterday, where the major indices tripped over a "mixed" bag of earnings from heavyweights like Bank of America and Wells Fargo.
While equities sulked, the paranoid and the prescient popped champagne as gold and silver blasted to fresh all-time highs of $4,650 and $93 respectively—apparently, apocalypse insurance is the new growth sector.
President Trump offered a brief respite for commuters by cooling his rhetoric on Iran, sending oil tumbling back to $60, though rumors he’s pivoting to eyeing Greenland (again) suggest the geopolitical risk premium isn't going anywhere.
Amidst the carnage, TSMC proved chips are the real safe haven by posting a massive 35% profit jump, and Bitcoin clawed its way back to $97,000.
Macro Signal
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Recession
22%
Moderate
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Rate Cuts
1.9
Next 6 Mo
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Midterms
48%
D-House, R-Senate
|
CPI Forecast
2.7%
Dec 2025
|
AI Bubble Burst
16%
Dec 2026
|
From The Research Desk
Iran Supreme Leader Transition Market Gaps Amid Historic Unrest January 12, 2026 --- Positions | Market | Platform | Current Price | Fair Value | Recommendation | |--------|----------|---------------|------------|----------------| | Khamenei out by J...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Breaking Markets
The biggest movers in the last 24 hours. These markets are seeing dramatic price swings.
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▲ 21.0%
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Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2% and 2.5%? (Yes 83%)
24h Price Movement
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▲ 14.0%
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Trump x Greenland deal signed by March 31? (Yes 35%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▲ 12.0%
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Ramp IPO before 2027? (Yes 36%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▼ 11.0%
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US Mobile/Internet outages caused by Iran? (Yes 3%)
24h Price Movement
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▲ 13.0%
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Will Baidu have the second best AI Model at the end of January? (Yes 13%)
24h Price Movement
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Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
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▲ 3.0%
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INTC
Intel Corporation
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$48.72
+$1.43
|
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▲ 1.9%
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PYPL
PayPal Holdings
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$57.66
+$1.10
|
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▲ 1.7%
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PFE
Pfizer Inc.
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$25.58
+$0.43
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Top Losers
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▼ 4.3%
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ORCL
Oracle Corporation
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$193.61
-$8.68
|
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▼ 2.5%
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META
Meta Platforms Inc.
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$615.52
-$15.57
|
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▼ 2.5%
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AMZN
Amazon.com Inc.
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$236.65
-$5.95
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Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
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Tech/Culture
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Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
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| #2 |
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| #3 |
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| #4 |
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| #5 |
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In The News
Market of the Day
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The Bullish Sound of Silence:
Yesterday’s silence from the Supreme Court was the most bullish signal the "Yes" side has seen in months, driving odds up to 33%. The logic is straightforward: a slam-dunk rejection of the tariffs would have been quick and unanimous. |
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Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.