| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
If you thought the Doomsday Clock ticking closer to midnight was the only source of anxiety today, try holding UnitedHealth stock, which nosedived 20% while the rest of the S&P 500 awkwardly celebrated record highs.
Elon Musk is reportedly timing a massive $1.5 trillion SpaceX IPO to align with both his birthday and a rare planetary alignment.
Meanwhile, Amazon is "right-sizing" another 16,000 roles out of existence, and the geopolitical stage remains equally chaotic with renewed tariff threats and a tragic plane crash in India claiming Deputy CM Ajit Pawar.
Macro Signal
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Recession
22%
Moderate
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Rate Cuts
2.2
Next 6 Mo
|
Midterms
46%
D-House, R-Senate
|
CPI Forecast
2.7%
Dec 2025
|
AI Bubble Burst
19%
Dec 2026
|
From The Research Desk
The Puzzle Polymarket prices US acquisition of part of Greenland in 2026 at 20%. Kalshi prices US control of any part of Greenland at 46% before January 2029. Kalshi prices Trump taking back the Panama Canal at 35%. Conventional geopolitical analysis...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Breaking Markets
The biggest movers in the last 24 hours. These markets are seeing dramatic price swings.
|
▲ 51.0%
|
Will Alexander Vindman be the democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? (Yes 70%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▲ 36.0%
|
Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January? (Yes 37%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▼ 30.0%
|
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31? (Yes 33%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▲ 21.0%
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Will Artemis II launch by February 7? (Yes 45%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▼ 14.0%
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Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February? (Yes 53%)
24h Price Movement
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Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
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▲ 9.4%
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INTC
Intel Corporation
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$48.04
+$4.11
|
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▲ 3.6%
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ORCL
Oracle Corporation
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$181.16
+$6.26
|
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▲ 1.7%
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
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$256.24
+$4.21
|
Top Losers
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▼ 0.9%
|
PFE
Pfizer Inc.
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$26.26
-$0.24
|
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▼ 0.8%
|
AAPL
Apple Inc.
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$256.15
-$2.12
|
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▼ 0.7%
|
WMT
Walmart Inc.
|
$116.09
-$0.85
|
Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
| #1 |
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| #2 |
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| #3 |
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| #4 |
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| #5 |
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In The News
Market of the Day
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With the Government shutdown being priced at 76% chance, we turn to how long the shutdown might last. 1-7 day range is the current favorite, pricing in a messy week in Washington but not a prolonged shutdown like we saw last year. |
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Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.