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| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
🏦 Finance & Markets
Dow retakes 50,000 — The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 373 points (+0.7%) to reclaim the 50,000 level, buoyed by strong Cisco earnings and optimism around the Trump-Xi Beijing summit. The S&P 500 climbed 0.3% while the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%.
🗳️ Politics
Trump-Xi summit underway in Beijing — President Trump is meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping for a two-day summit. Xi warned that Taiwan "is the most important issue" and could lead to confrontation if mishandled. The leaders agreed the Strait of Hormuz must remain open and that Iran can never have a nuclear weapon. Top CEOs including Elon Musk, Tim Cook, and Larry Fink are attending alongside Trump.
🌍 Geopolitics
US-China summit dominates — Beyond Taiwan, Trump and Xi discussed trade imbalances, the Iran conflict, Ukraine, and the Korean Peninsula. The White House announced new bilateral boards for economic and AI oversight.
Macro Signal
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Recession
23%
Moderate
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Rate Cuts
1
Next 6 Mo
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Midterms
0%
D-House, R-Senate
|
CPI Forecast
3%
Dec 2025
|
AI Bubble Burst
0%
Dec 2026
|
From The Research Desk
Christine Drazan is at 76% on Kalshi to win the Republican nomination. Ed Diehl is at 18%. Chris Dudley is at 10%. The chart tells a clean story: Drazan has been leading since the market opened, Diehl had a brief surge in January that faded, and Dudl...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
|
▲ 14.8%
|
CSCO
Cisco Systems
|
$116.98
+$15.11
|
|
▲ 3.5%
|
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
|
$233.75
+$7.92
|
|
▲ 2.9%
|
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
|
$195.26
+$5.50
|
Top Losers
|
▼ 4.6%
|
INTC
Intel Corporation
|
$114.72
-$5.57
|
|
▼ 1.5%
|
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.
|
$396.63
-$5.99
|
|
▼ 1.0%
|
AMZN
Amazon.com Inc.
|
$267.45
-$2.68
|
Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
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Sports
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Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
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| #2 |
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| #3 |
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| #5 |
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In The News
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