| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
The US and Iran are huddling up in Geneva for critical nuclear talks while the US casually parks a few more warships nearby just in case.
Meanwhile, Washington is buzzing as Hillary and Bill Clinton prepare for their highly anticipated depositions in the ongoing Epstein investigation, and Cuba is making waves—literally—by fatally shooting four armed individuals on a Florida-registered speedboat.
But if you’re looking for a safe haven from the geopolitical drama, just look at Nvidia; the AI juggernaut casually dropped another earth-shattering earnings report with a record $68.1 billion in Q4 revenue (up 73%), single-handedly trying to quell Wall Street's AI worries.
Macro Signal
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Recession
22%
Moderate
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Rate Cuts
2.1
Next 6 Mo
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Midterms
45%
D-House, R-Senate
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CPI Forecast
2.7%
Dec 2025
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AI Bubble Burst
18%
Dec 2026
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From The Research Desk
Executive Summary Position. BUY NO on "Orban out in 2026" (Polymarket, 61% YES); BUY ORBAN on "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" (Polymarket, 38%; Kalshi, 44%). Fair Value. Orban remains PM: 48-55% (current market: 38-44%). Orban out: 45-52% (current m...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Breaking Markets
The biggest movers in the last 24 hours. These markets are seeing dramatic price swings.
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▲ 84.0%
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Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? (100%)
24h Price Movement
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▲ 21.0%
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Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? (Yes 69%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▼ 20.0%
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Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? (SpaceX 74%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▲ 20.0%
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Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary? (Dems 75%)
24h Price Movement
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▼ 11.0%
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Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? (Yes19%)
24h Price Movement
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Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
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▲ 2.6%
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CRM
Salesforce Inc.
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$196.77
+$5.02
|
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▲ 1.8%
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NFLX
Netflix Inc.
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$84.21
+$1.51
|
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▲ 1.6%
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ADBE
Adobe Inc.
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$261.86
+$4.05
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Top Losers
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▼ 3.0%
|
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
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$189.67
-$5.89
|
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▼ 2.9%
|
INTC
Intel Corporation
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$45.54
-$1.34
|
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▼ 2.5%
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AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
|
$205.51
-$5.35
|
Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
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Politics
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Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
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| #5 |
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In The News
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Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.