| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
🏦 Finance & Markets
Fed holds rates steady in Powell's final FOMC meeting. The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged. Chair Jerome Powell confirmed he will remain on the Board of Governors indefinitely while a probe into the central bank's headquarters renovation continues. Markets digested the decision ahead of a massive Big Tech earnings wave.
Mag 7 earnings flood: mixed results. Alphabet surged 7%+ premarket after beating expectations. Amazon also rose post-earnings. Microsoft fell as Azure cloud growth disappointed. Meta tumbled 9% after raising full-year capex guidance to $125–$145 billion, spooking investors.
🗳️ Politics
Hegseth testifies on Iran war; calls critics "biggest adversary." Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth slammed bipartisan opposition to the Iran conflict during his first congressional testimony since hostilities began. The White House is seeking roughly $1.5 trillion for defense spending
🌍 Geopolitics
U.S.-Iran conflict enters Day 61. The U.S. and Israeli military operations continue in Iran. Analysts note U.S. missile inventories are being depleted but remain sufficient for this conflict — the concern is future readiness against peer competitors like China. Iran is leveraging the Strait of Hormuz to raise global energy costs, betting it can outlast U.S. political will.
Macro Signal
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Recession
26%
Elevated
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Rate Cuts
1
Next 6 Mo
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Midterms
0%
D-House, R-Senate
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CPI Forecast
2.5%
Dec 2025
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AI Bubble Burst
0%
Dec 2026
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From The Research Desk
It has been almost two months since the start of the Iran conflict. Active hostilities have given way to an indefinite ceasefire, US naval blockade, intermittent strikes, and stalled diplomatic talks in Islamabad. The war's prediction markets have se...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Breaking Markets
The biggest movers in the last 24 hours. These markets are seeing dramatic price swings.
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▼ 97.0%
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Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale? (Yes 1%)
24h Price Movement
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▼ 96.0%
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Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? (Yes 3%)
24h Price Movement
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▲ 92.0%
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Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April? (Yes 98%)
24h Price Movement
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▲ 89.0%
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Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April? (Yes 100%)
24h Price Movement
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▲ 88.0%
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Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month? (Yes 100%)
24h Price Movement
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Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
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▲ 12.1%
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INTC
Intel Corporation
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$94.75
+$10.23
|
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▲ 8.3%
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V
Visa Inc.
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$334.86
+$25.56
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▲ 4.3%
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AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
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$337.11
+$13.90
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Top Losers
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▼ 1.9%
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HD
The Home Depot
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$322.81
-$6.25
|
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▼ 1.8%
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NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
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$209.25
-$3.92
|
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▼ 1.8%
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PG
Procter & Gamble
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$146.46
-$2.71
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Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
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Finance
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Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
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Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.