| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
_(6)_1766501040798.png)
Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
If you were hoping for a quiet Friday, the news cycle had other plans. While U.S. inflation finally decided to behave—cooling to an annualized 2.4%—global markets are currently hyperventilating over a potential AI bubble pop, sending tech stocks (and Pinterest, specifically) tumbling down faster than a skier at the Winter Olympics.
Speaking of downhill slides, a top Goldman Sachs lawyer abruptly resigned over Epstein ties, just as the Trump administration rolled back key climate change findings—presumably deciding that "hot" is better applied to stock tips than the planet.
Elsewhere, Bangladesh voted in a new government, Kim Jong Un is hard-launching his daughter as his successor, and the DHS is staring down a shutdown.
Macro Signal
|
Recession
22%
Moderate
|
Rate Cuts
2.2
Next 6 Mo
|
Midterms
47%
D-House, R-Senate
|
CPI Forecast
2.7%
Dec 2025
|
AI Bubble Burst
20%
Dec 2026
|
From The Research Desk
Why Betting on Timothée Chalamet at 77% Is the Smartest Oscar Play The Kalshi market for Best Actor at the 2026 Oscars prices Timothée Chalamet at 77% to win for Marty Supreme. Leonardo DiCaprio sits at 10%, Michael B. Jordan at 9%. Those odds aren't...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Breaking Markets
The biggest movers in the last 24 hours. These markets are seeing dramatic price swings.
|
▲ 64.0%
|
Will Annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January? (Yes 100%)
24h Price Movement
|
|
▲ 35.0%
|
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the US by February 28, 2026? (Yes 63%)
24h Price Movement
|
|
▲ 32.0%
|
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam? (Yes 40%)
24h Price Movement
|
|
▼ 16.0%
|
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in 2026 Winter Olympics? (Yes 69%)
24h Price Movement
|
|
▲ 13.0%
|
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein's Island? (Yes 38%)
24h Price Movement
|
Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
|
▲ 2.1%
|
CRM
Salesforce Inc.
|
$189.32
+$3.89
|
|
▲ 1.1%
|
PFE
Pfizer Inc.
|
$27.78
+$0.31
|
|
▲ 1.1%
|
DIS
Walt Disney Company
|
$103.51
+$1.13
|
Top Losers
|
▼ 2.0%
|
INTC
Intel Corporation
|
$45.53
-$0.95
|
|
▼ 1.4%
|
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
|
$184.29
-$2.65
|
|
▼ 1.3%
|
META
Meta Platforms Inc.
|
$641.35
-$8.46
|
Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
|
Finance
|
Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
|
|
Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
| #1 |
|
| #2 |
|
| #3 |
|
| #4 |
|
| #5 |
|
In The News
Market of the Day
|
|
Employment Surprise (The Big Jolt): The January 2026 jobs report was a scorcher. The U.S. economy added 130,000 jobs (smashing the 70,000 forecast), and unemployment dipped to 4.3%. The labor market basically looked at the recession fears and laughed, convincing traders the Fed has zero reason to rush a rescue cut. Sticky Inflation: Inflation decided to loiter rather than leave. January CPI came in at an annualized 2.4% (above the Fed’s 2% target), with Core PCE stuck at 2.8%. Markets realized that "mission accomplished" is still a ways off, killing the vibe for a March cut. |
Full Analytics Dashboard
View Dashboard →flowframe.xyz · est 2025
You're receiving this because you subscribed to FlowFrame's daily newsletter.
Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.