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| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
🏦 Finance & Markets
Stocks slip on tech sell-off and oil jitters. The S&P 500 fell 0.55%, the Dow dropped 0.85%, and the Nasdaq slid 0.55%. Chip stocks continued to sell off amid fading AI momentum, while traders monitored oil markets after Trump called off a planned strike on Iran.
🗳️ Politics
Six states hold primaries today. Key races include KY-04 (Rep. Thomas Massie faces Trump-backed Ed Galtrein) and the Georgia Republican Senate primary (Mike Collins vs. Derek Dooley). Results could reshape the balance of power in Congress.
🌍 Geopolitics
Strait of Hormuz blockade disrupts global energy. Both the US and Iran are effectively closing the strait through competing blockade tactics. Lufthansa has cut flights and European governments are planning for fuel shortages as oil supply remains trapped in the Persian Gulf.
KY-04 Republican nominee? Ed Galtrein: 54% / Thomas Massie: 47%
Georgia Republican Senate nominee? Mike Collins: 68% / Derek Dooley: 32%
Macro Signal
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Recession
25%
Moderate
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Rate Cuts
1
Next 6 Mo
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Midterms
0%
D-House, R-Senate
|
CPI Forecast
3%
Dec 2025
|
AI Bubble Burst
0%
Dec 2026
|
From The Research Desk
Trump's Coast Guard Academy Speech Word Market: The Cheat Sheet --- THE EVENT: 145th Coast Guard Academy Commencement Exercises WHO: President Donald Trump (keynote address) WHEN: Wednesday, May 20, 2026, 11:00 a.m. ET WHERE: Cadet Memorial Field, U....
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
|
▲ 3.7%
|
CRM
Salesforce Inc.
|
$186.11
+$6.63
|
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▲ 2.9%
|
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
|
$263.07
+$7.43
|
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▲ 1.4%
|
NFLX
Netflix Inc.
|
$90.94
+$1.29
|
Top Losers
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▼ 5.2%
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
|
$399.20
-$21.79
|
|
▼ 3.5%
|
INTC
Intel Corporation
|
$104.38
-$3.79
|
|
▼ 3.0%
|
TSLA
Tesla Inc.
|
$397.89
-$12.10
|
Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
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In The News
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Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.
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