| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
🏦 Finance & Markets
Futures flat ahead of key CPI print. Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures are hovering near unchanged this morning as traders await the March Consumer Price Index release at 8:30 a.m. ET — the most anticipated inflation reading in weeks.
🏦 Finance & Markets
Futures flat ahead of key CPI print. Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures are hovering near unchanged this morning as traders await the March Consumer Price Index release at 8:30 a.m. ET — the most anticipated inflation reading in weeks.
🌍 Geopolitics
Iran ceasefire talks move to Islamabad. U.S. and Iranian delegations are meeting in Islamabad today (Friday) for continued negotiations. The two-week ceasefire suspends U.S. and Israeli strikes in exchange for Iran reopening the Strait of Hormuz to safe passage
🏆 Sports
The Masters underway at Augusta. Round 1 of the 2026 Masters begins today. Defending champion Rory McIlroy enters at 24% odds on Kalshi, with Scottie Scheffler at 20%. Jack Nicklaus says McIlroy has a "very, very good chance to repeat."
Fed holds rates in April - 97% Yes
Recession in 2026 - 23% Yes
Macro Signal
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Recession
25%
Moderate
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Rate Cuts
1
Next 6 Mo
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Midterms
0%
D-House, R-Senate
|
CPI Forecast
2.5%
Dec 2025
|
AI Bubble Burst
18%
Dec 2026
|
From The Research Desk
THE EVENT: Fox News interview with President Trump WHO: President Donald Trump WHEN: Sunday, April 13, 2026 WHERE: Fox News (format TBD -- could be phone-in or in-studio) AUDIENCE: Fox News viewers. This is friendly territory. No hostile press corps....
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Breaking Markets
The biggest movers in the last 24 hours. These markets are seeing dramatic price swings.
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▲ 56.0%
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Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March? (Yes 100%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▼ 46.0%
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Will San Francisco 49ers draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft? (Yes 2%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▲ 43.0%
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Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25-2.50 in March? (Yes 100%)
24h Price Movement
|
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▼ 42.0%
|
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? (Yes 7%)
24h Price Movement
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▼ 40.0%
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Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? (Yes 10%)
24h Price Movement
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Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
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▲ 4.6%
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
|
$247.51
+$10.87
|
|
▲ 2.5%
|
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
|
$188.51
+$4.60
|
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▲ 2.4%
|
AMZN
Amazon.com Inc.
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$239.27
+$5.62
|
Top Losers
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▼ 3.1%
|
CRM
Salesforce Inc.
|
$165.58
-$5.27
|
|
▼ 2.1%
|
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
|
$225.21
-$4.73
|
|
▼ 1.6%
|
WMT
Walmart Inc.
|
$127.08
-$2.05
|
Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
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Finance
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Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
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| #2 |
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| #3 |
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| #4 |
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| #5 |
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In The News
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Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.