| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
It’s been a day of mixed signals and fossil fuels: while the White House ordered the Pentagon to go vintage by prioritizing coal-generated power, Congress surprisingly voted to play nice with the neighbors, blocking tariffs on Canada in a rare bipartisan rebuke.
Wall Street couldn't quite decide if it was celebrating or panicking—stocks wobbled on tech jitters despite a solid jobs report, while Bitcoin briefly mooned past $70,000 before remembering gravity exists.
Elsewhere, the FAA shut down El Paso’s airspace over what turned out to be a laser-pointer panic, and Russia is evacuating tourists from Cuba’s deepening fuel crisis.
Macro Signal
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Recession
22%
Moderate
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Rate Cuts
2.2
Next 6 Mo
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Midterms
46%
D-House, R-Senate
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CPI Forecast
2.7%
Dec 2025
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AI Bubble Burst
20%
Dec 2026
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From The Research Desk
Why Betting on Timothée Chalamet at 77% Is the Smartest Oscar Play The Kalshi market for Best Actor at the 2026 Oscars prices Timothée Chalamet at 77% to win for Marty Supreme. Leonardo DiCaprio sits at 10%, Michael B. Jordan at 9%. Those odds aren't...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Breaking Markets
The biggest movers in the last 24 hours. These markets are seeing dramatic price swings.
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▲ 25.0%
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Will the USA win the second most Gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? (Yes 84%)
24h Price Movement
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▲ 17.0%
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Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $700b on February 28? (Yes 49%)
24h Price Movement
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▲ 17.0%
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Will Google have the #1 AI Model at the end of february? (Yes 29%)
24h Price Movement
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▼ 14.0%
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Fed Rate Cut by March 2026 meeting? (Yes 7%)
24h Price Movement
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▲ 12.0%
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Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February? (Yes 88%)
24h Price Movement
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Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
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▲ 2.5%
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INTC
Intel Corporation
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$48.29
+$1.16
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▲ 1.6%
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WMT
Walmart Inc.
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$128.77
+$2.07
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▲ 0.8%
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NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
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$190.05
+$1.51
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Top Losers
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▼ 4.4%
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CRM
Salesforce Inc.
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$185.00
-$8.45
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▼ 3.2%
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NFLX
Netflix Inc.
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$79.62
-$2.59
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▼ 2.8%
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ADBE
Adobe Inc.
|
$257.16
-$7.51
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Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
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In The News
Market of the Day
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While Congress passed a bill to fund most of the government earlier this month (ending the Jan 31–Feb 3 shutdown), they only kicked the can down the road for the Department of Homeland Security. That stopgap measure expires tomorrow, and negotiations have completely stalled over immigration enforcement.
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Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.