| Vol. 1, No. 42 | New York • London • Tokyo | $0.50 |
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Global Intelligence Journal
Good morning!
While you were sleeping, the prediction market whales were busy. Here's what the smart money is betting on, plus today's top bond picks across sports, finance, politics, and tech.
Middle East Conflict Escalates
The dominating story globally is the rapid intensification of the US-Israel-Iran conflict, which has now entered its sixth day. Tensions surged significantly after the US sank an Iranian warship and launched coordinated strikes with Israel aimed at Iranian security forces and leadership. In retaliation, Iran has initiated a wave of drone and missile attacks targeting Israel, US military bases, and neighboring Gulf states. The escalating violence has prompted widespread airspace closures, severe disruptions to global shipping and air cargo, and urgent evacuation efforts for foreign nationals in the region. Meanwhile, in Washington, the US House of Representatives is preparing to vote on a resolution to limit President Trump's war powers following reports of American military casualties.
Global Economic and Diplomatic Shifts
In other major international developments, China announced a 2026 economic growth target of 4.5% to 5%—its lowest goal since 1991—while simultaneously increasing its defense budget by 7% amid global geopolitical challenges. Compounding China's domestic news, a shallow 4.9 magnitude earthquake struck the Xinjiang region today, causing severe shaking and disrupting travel. Elsewhere, G7 nations are actively negotiating a critical minerals trade pact to counter China's market dominance, Cuba is facing widespread blackouts exacerbated by dwindling oil reserves and US sanctions, and the US military has reportedly launched anti-narcotics operations in Ecuador
Macro Signal
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Recession
22%
Moderate
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Rate Cuts
2.1
Next 6 Mo
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Midterms
42%
D-House, R-Senate
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CPI Forecast
2.7%
Dec 2025
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AI Bubble Burst
20%
Dec 2026
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From The Research Desk
Iran Faces Deep Instability After Supreme Leader Khamenei's Death > Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Polymarket · Resolves 6/30/2026 > > Yes 39.5% — No 60.5% — Volume $7,297,712 Where the market stands The odds on Polymarket currently shows...
Keep Reading on FlowFrame →Breaking Markets
The biggest movers in the last 24 hours. These markets are seeing dramatic price swings.
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▼ 7.0%
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Fed Rate Cut by June 2026 meeting? (Yes 39%)
24h Price Movement
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▼ 3.0%
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US Forces seize another oil tanker by March 7? (Yes 11%)
24h Price Movement
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▼ 7.0%
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Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19? (Yes 85%)
24h Price Movement
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▼ 9.0%
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Ethereum flipped in 2026? (Yes 47%)
24h Price Movement
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▼ 1.0%
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Will Bitcoin Dip to $45,000 by December 31? (Yes 44%)
24h Price Movement
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Stock Market Movers
Top gainers and losers from yesterday's trading session.
Top Gainers
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▲ 2.7%
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ADBE
Adobe Inc.
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$280.39
+$7.27
|
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▲ 2.0%
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BRK.B
Berkshire Hathaway
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$497.13
+$9.65
|
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▲ 1.9%
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ORCL
Oracle Corporation
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$155.29
+$2.92
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Top Losers
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▼ 2.0%
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WMT
Walmart Inc.
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$125.26
-$2.55
|
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▼ 1.6%
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PG
Procter & Gamble
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$155.84
-$2.46
|
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▼ 1.0%
|
HD
The Home Depot
|
$365.55
-$3.56
|
Today's Top Pick
Our highest-rated opportunity of the day. Each pick is rated AAA-A based on liquidity, probability, and smart money activity.
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Finance
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Emerging Markets
Markets gaining rapid traction with high volume velocity. These unrated markets show accelerating interest.
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Smart Money Activity
When traders put serious money on the line, we pay attention. Significant whale bets from the past 24 hours.
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| #5 |
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In The News
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Not financial advice. Do your own research. Markets can be wrong.