The Fed suspense is over, but the market sell-off has just begun

Everything is perfectly balanced, until someone moves.

UnitedHealth tanks 20%, Elon eyes $1.5T, and traders price in a 71% chance of a messy week in DC.

Markets bet 81% on a Capitol Hill freeze while gold heats up to $5k.

Kalshi prices Starmer's exit before 2027 at 48%, implying near-even odds of survival. William Hill (UK bookmaker) at 60% and pathway analysis suggest fair value lies in the 58-65% range