On January 13, we entered a series of NO positions on Polymarket's "US strikes Iran by...?" market, spanning January 13 through January 18.

The S&P loves a cancelled trade war, Canada gets the boot, and traders react to Musk's Self Driving comments

The machinery of sovereign transfer moves slower than the calendar

The smart money goes long on "Snowzilla," while the White House goes long on the Arctic

Why buying an island is making your mortgage refinance more expensive.